Image by Roger Yebuah via istock, Volvo press materials, Niponsaelao via dreamstime.com, David Fuentes via adobe stock, Flickr, Inland Rail, Adobe Stock, Acelink Logistics Pte Ltd, Eric Cortinas, The Mobility House
To translate the vision of the Manifesto for intermodal, low-carbon, efficient and resilient freight transport and logistics into actionable steps, SLOCATand the Kühne Climate Center have embarked on the development of a compendium of policy and financing interventions.
In a world of interconnected challenges, our economies and societies must transform to remain competitive, equitable and resilient, while keeping global warming to 1.5ºC. Accelerating the transformation of freight transport and logistics is among the most impactful steps the global community can take to enable overall positive socio-economic transformations by mid-century.
Connect goods, markets and consumers, driving socio-economic development.
But recent challenges are exposing the increased vulnerabilities of freight systems and their workforce
Can significantly enhance people's quality of life, boost local production, jobs, tax revenue, circularity and resilience to shocks,
and reduce energy consumption and emissions
Play a key role in accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy, green jobs, low-carbon technologies
and low-carbon value chains. But the way goods are moved today results in
negative climate and sustainability impacts
Resilience is crucial. The negative impacts of transport disruptions on a country’s connectivity
and development are even greater than the huge financial losses in transport assets
Because of its near complete dependence on fossil fuels and the growing demand for transport, the transport sector accounted for 20.7% of global fossil CO2 emissions in 2022. Freight transport accounted for 42% of global transport CO2 emissions in 2019.
Figure 1: Transport CO2 emissions by activity and mode, 2019
An increasingly significant share of urban transport is related to moving goods. Urban freight transport contributed 25% of transport-related CO2 emissions and accounted for 30-50% of other transport-related pollutants in 2015.
Road transport is the largest emitter of CO2 among all transport modes, contributing 78% of total transport emissions in 2020. Road freight accounted for nearly one-third of the emissions from road transport. In 2019, road transport was responsible for 82% of passenger transport emissions and 69% of freight transport emissions.
Figure 2: CO2 emissions from road transport, by vehicle type, 2000-2020 (in Mt CO2)
Global freight transport activity, measured in tonne-kilometres, grew 68% between 2000 and 2015, and an additional 7% between 2019 and 2022 to surpass 179 trillion tonne-kilometres. The demand for global freight transportation is projected to further increase 2.0 times from 2019 to 2050. If unchecked, this growth poses a critical challenge to efforts to decarbonise freight transport. International trade and the geographically long global supply chains of many industries have contributed greatly to the rapid increase in emissions from freight transport.
Without more ambitious policies, transport CO2 emissions could grow 16-50% by 2050. As a result, CO2 emissions from freight transport would be 22% higher in 2050 than in 2015.
Achieving low-carbon transport pathways that limit global warming to 1.5°C (with no or limited overshoot) will require a 59% reduction in transport-related CO2 emissions by 2050, compared to 2020 levels.
Figure 3: Global CO2 transport emission trajectories by mode required to achieve IEA Net Zero emissions scenario
CO2 emissions intensity must be reduced by more than 94% for trucks and 98% for cars compared to 2020 levels, according to the IEA’s Net Zero scenario.
Figure 4. Required emissions intensity pathway to 2050 according to the IEA’s Net Zero scenario
In recent years, multiple crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine, and the blockage of the Suez Canal caused supply shortages, raising awareness of the fragility of global supply and logistics chains and their international dependencies. These disruptions resulted in the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index recording an all-time high value of 4.3 above the historical average of 1997 to 2022. It will be necessary to give greater attention to the systemic reorganisation of global supply chains in the effort to reach net zero emissions, and to minimise risks to industry during the energy transition.
Figure 5. Global supply chain pressure index (higher value means higher pressure), 2015 to 2022
Since mid-2020, higher shipping costs have been driven by events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine. High energy prices are a key contributor to increased maritime shipping costs. The average price of fuel oil increased nearly two-thirds from January to May 2022. The average fuel surcharge by container shipping lines rose nearly 50% during this period.
Ambitious, science-based targets, regulations, policies, standards
Economics, finance and investments
Integrated planning and operations
Mandatory, standardised and transparent tracking, reporting and evaluation
Data, research, technology, innovation and capacity building
This manifesto was launched at the first United Nations Global Supply Chain Forum organised by United Nations Trade and Development and the Government of Barbados on 21 – 24 May 2024 in Bridgetown, Barbados. Active outreach and advocacy actions will continue after this Forum, with possibilities for later sign on to the manifesto. In the coming months, we will contribute to building up technical capacity through a compendium of policy and financing interventions and multistakeholder dialogue.
In a world of interconnected challenges, our economies and societies must transform to remain competitive, equitable and resilient, while keeping global warming to 1.5ºC. Accelerating the transformation of freight transport and logistics is among the most impactful steps the global community can take to enable positive socio-economic transformations by mid-century.
We call on governments and businesses to plan and finance intermodal, low-carbon, efficient and resilient freight transport and logistics. We urge action towards prioritising systems that efficiently and resiliently combine low-carbon services from the first to the last mile, be that local or intercontinental. We also call for urgent action on transitioning to zero emission fuels and renewable energy, optimising logistics systems, and creating local and circular value chains.
Freight transport and logistics connect goods, markets and consumers, driving socio-economic development. International freight corridors can foster international cooperation and regional stability. However, challenges like the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, energy supply issues, inflation and extreme climate events are exposing the increased vulnerabilities of freight systems and their workforce. Projected changes in demographics, climate, behaviour, energy sources, production and consumption location, workforce and technology will dramatically impact the future of freight transport and logistics.
Improving freight transport and logistics can significantly enhance people’s quality of life, even though these operations often go unnoticed. From major shippers to informal deliveries at our doorstep, a wide range of operators and economic flows are involved. Transforming freight transport and logistics is crucial for boosting local production, jobs, tax revenue, circularity and resilience to shocks, and can also reduce energy consumption and emissions.
Freight transport and logistics play a key role in accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy, creating green jobs, scaling up low-carbon technologies and enabling low-carbon value chains. However, the way goods are moved today results in significant climate impacts, air pollution, noise, fossil fuel consumption and loss of habitats with substantial social and economic costs. Because of its near complete dependence on fossil fuels and the growing demand for transport, in 2022 the transport sector accounted for 20.7% of global CO2 emissions, with freight transport contributing 42% of them. Urban transport related to the movement of goods is increasing. With freight transport demand expected to more than double by 2050, without a paradigm shift, the negative impacts from freight transport will continue to rise.
The resilience of freight transport and logistics is crucial. The negative impacts of transport disruptions on a country’s connectivity and development are even greater than the huge financial losses in transport assets. Transport is also a lifeline and essential for rapid recovery in moments of disaster and shocks. Low- and middle-Income countries, where many systems still have to be developed, can avoid sunk investments and costly retro-fitting, if adequate climate finance for both mitigation and adaptation is made available now.
We emphasise that to achieve decarbonised and sustainable pathways, we need to transform freight transport and logistics systems. This requires prioritising systems that efficiently and resiliently combine low-carbon services from the first to the last mile, be that local or intercontinental. It also requires transitioning to zero emission fuels and renewable energy, optimising logistics systems, and creating local and circular value chains. Protecting workers and giving them a voice in decision making, in alignment with the principles of a just transition, will be key to making the transformation possible.
Global frameworks and processes at the intersection of transport, development, climate, energy and resilience often overlook the role of freight transport and logistics in prosperous, low-carbon, resilient societies. Responsibility and solutions often get lost within an international system that primarily assigns them to state actors, lacking transparent mechanisms for monitoring progress and harnessing action by multiple stakeholders. The political, technical, monitoring and financial mechanisms of these global frameworks must prioritise addressing challenges and leveraging solutions in freight transport and logistics, especially in low- and middle-income countries.
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