NDCs Library

It's time for Bold NDCs

Guidelines, tools and resources to increase
transport ambition in NDCs

Is transport on track for 1.5°C?
Insights from the new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)

GIZ-SLOCAT NDC Analysis

This report by GIZ and SLOCAT evaluates the integration of transport within the latest round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to meet global climate goals. Utilising the NDC Transport Tracker, the analysis highlights a significant shift toward electric mobility and vehicle efficiency, though it identifies critical “blind spots” in areas like freight, aviation, shipping and informal transport.

While many countries are setting emission reduction targets, the current level of ambition remains insufficient to align with the 1.5°C goal under the Paris Agreement. The report also identifies the urgent need for increased climate finance and enhanced infrastructure resilience to protect global mobility systems from extreme weather. The report calls for stronger international cooperation and a better balance between technological improvements and shifts toward public transport, intercity rail, walking and cycling.

Partnership in Action on NDCs 3.0

Check out what the transport community is doing

 

NDC Transport Tracker

NDC Transport Tracker is a database on ambition, targets and policies in NDCs and Long-Term Strategies.

The GIZ-SLOCAT NDC Transport Tracker pays special attention to the level of ambition of the transport sector in the NDCs with the focus on target-setting, adaptation and resilience in transport and the scope of transport sub-sectors included.

IT IS NOW OR NEVER

Transport connects people, goods, and economies — it’s how people access jobs, education and health services, food reaches markets, and economic activity happens. The sector accounted for roughly 7% of global GDP and employed nearly 200 million people worldwide in 2021, yet it’s also one of the largest sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions and among the most exposed to climate risks like flooding and heat. Meanwhile, persistent gaps remain in inclusive access to reliable, efficient, and affordable transport, leaving billions of people worldwide in situations of inequality and transport poverty, while limiting the economic development of countries.

In 2023, the transport sector remained the second-largest and fastest growing emitting sector, responsible for 15.9% of global GHG and for 21.9% of global CO₂ emissions. Transport was also the fastest growing energy-use sector in 2023, consuming 27% of the global energy for end-uses. Despite advances in renewable energy and rapid increases in electric vehicle adoption, fossil fuels still accounted for 95.4% of the total energy consumption in the transport sector in 2023. This share has remained virtually unchanged for five decades and is directly linked to the high emissions and air pollution caused by transport activity.

Urgent action is required. According to IPCC, transport emissions need to drop at least by 59% by 2050 compared to 2020 levels to stay within 1.5°C warming. However, demand for moving people and goods is set to grow sharply, Without a paradigm shift, transport’s impacts on emissions, air quality and energy use will worsen. Moreover, each year, climate-related disasters cause an estimated USD 15–22 billion in damage to transport infrastructure, hitting low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) hardest. The negative impacts of transport disruptions on a country’s connectivity and development are even greater than the huge financial losses in transport assets. Thus, the NDC 3.0 needs to enhance action on sustainable, low carbon transport. The COP28 Global Stocktake Outcome encourages countries to accelerate the reduction of emissions from road transport on a range of pathways, including through development of infrastructure and rapid deployment of zero- and low-emission vehicles.

Meeting climate targets in transport will cost an estimated USD 2.7 trillion annually until 2050 – seven times the investment levels in transport in 2023. 

Based on the 86 new NDCs submitted by 113 Parties, as of 9 November 2025, global GHG emissions in 2035 are projected to be around 12% below 2019 levels. It is far below the required emission reduction levels of 35-60% for 2035.Historical emissions from 1950, projected emissions in 2030 based on nationally determined contributions, and emission reductions required by the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

The investment gaps are highest in LMICs in Africa and Asia, With many transport systems in LMICs still developing, the next decade is a decisive window to avoid inefficient investments and costly retrofits.

The 2025 NDCs are a major opportunity for countries to implement – through robust transport targets – their agreements under the first Global Stocktake. These include efforts to reduce road transport emissions through a range of pathways, transition away from fossil fuels, triple renewable energy capacity and double the rate of energy efficiency.

Integrating robust transport actions in NDCs offers multi-faceted benefits that extend beyond emission reductions – Countries can boost prosperity, attract investment and create jobs. Cities can become cleaner (through reduced greenhouse gas emissions and improved air quality) and more inclusive, with diversified transport infrastructure and options that enhance access to basic services and better opportunities for all. Greater efficiency in transport systems saves energy, land and public funds. Shifting away from fossil fuels enhances energy security and resilience against global shocks, and reduces bills associated with fuel imports and volatile energy markets. Inclusive and collaborative approaches towards transforming transport – involving sub-national and non-state actors – ensures more integrated and unified strategies.

Five Recommendations to Raise Ambition for Transport in NDCs

As we collectively work to update and raise ambition in the next generation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)—the commitments made by each country under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) to reduce national emissions and adapt to climate change—we would like to share a set of key recommendations. These build upon SLOCAT’s 2020 recommendations, exploring how countries can scale up transport ambition in their NDCs.

Transports in NDCs 3.0 : An Analysis by GIZ and SLOCAT

The year 2025 marks a crucial juncture for advancing sustainable, low-carbon transport. Countries are expected to submit updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) with enhanced 2035 targets, referred to here as third-generation NDCs*. These submissions offer a vital opportunity to accelerate climate action in transport, aligning with national strategies and coordinating efforts across governance levels and sectors. This summary analysis outlines findings from the first 23 third-generation NDCs submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), as of 3 November 2025.

As of 15 January 2026, 110 new NDCs had been submitted, representing 137 of the 195 Parties to the Paris Agreement - yet they still points towards 2.3–2.5°C of warming far off the 1.5°C target.

Useful resources to on NDC 3.0

Transport in COP30 Outcomes

by SLOCAT

It’s Time to Set a Global Goal for Transport

by SLOCAT

Despite Some Progress, Countries’ New Climate Plans Largely Fall Short

by WRI

Transport, Climate and Sustainability Global Status Report– 4th Edition

by SLOCAT

Eleven Countries Champion New Low-Emission Transport Declaration at COP30

Transport Decarbonisation Index

by SLOCAT

Actions to Reduce Emissions and Boost the Resilience of Freight Transport and Global Supply Chains

by SLOCAT

A call to double the share of energy efficient and fossil-free forms of land transport by 2030

by SLOCAT, REN21, IDDRI, ITDP, UIC, UITP, WRI

Climate solutions 2030

High-Level Champions

The CAT guide to a good 2035 climate target

Climate Action Tracker

Climate Strategies for Transport: An Analysis of Nationally Determined Contributions and Long-Term Strategies

SLOCAT

Freight and Logistics NDCs and LTS overview and Compendium on financing and policy interventions

SLOCAT, Kühne Foundation

Guidelines for NDCs 3.0: Delivering on the GST outcome and beyond

Climate Action Network

Just transition Infographic

SLOCAT, ITF Workers

Local Action for Global Goals: An Opportunity for Enhancing Nationally Determined Contributions

UN-HABITAT

NDC 3.0 Navigator Exploring Sector-Specific Opportunities

NDC Partnership

NDC Transport Initiative for Asia (NDC-TIA)

The NDCs Hall of Fame

SLOCAT

Next-generation Climate Targets: A 5-Point Plan for NDCs

WRI

State of play of transport targets in nationally determined contributions and beyond in Asia and the Pacific

ESCAP, SLOCAT, ADB and Asian Transport Outlook

Political ambition and targets for 2025 NDCs in Asia-Pacific and LAC

SLOCAT, GCAP & US Dept. of State

Rail in Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) Analysis and recommendations

UIC

Regional Infographics on NDCs and Long-Term Strategies

SLOCAT

Ten Recommendations to Raise Ambition for Transport in NDCs

SLOCAT

Transporte en las actualizaciones de las NDCs y LTS de América Latina y el Caribe

SLOCAT and EUROCLIMA